Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 3.154221 3.482006 3.836597 4.249891 4.719871 5.239423 5.859621
2025-08-17 2.601152 3.024651 3.513563 4.123980 4.871617 5.765150 6.925437
2025-08-24 2.280942 2.751225 3.319894 4.066403 5.032856 6.259034 7.960588
2025-08-31 2.064625 2.563537 3.189556 4.045531 5.205748 6.753977 9.029455
2025-09-07 1.948910 2.483163 3.176160 4.159559 5.550362 7.496752 10.520149
2025-09-14 1.807205 2.351598 3.077248 4.139261 5.696042 7.965383 11.665022
2025-09-21 1.681542 2.228644 2.975546 4.099011 5.799737 8.372731 12.759679
2025-09-28 1.531244 2.059002 2.793246 3.922079 5.675883 8.410892 13.250655
2025-10-05 1.460896 1.996105 2.756531 3.954641 5.871645 8.966942 14.686356
2025-10-12 1.408925 1.955070 2.747016 4.025097 6.130430 9.650283 16.446932
2025-10-19 1.360833 1.915753 2.735939 4.089969 6.383251 10.348618 18.344047
2025-10-26 1.312910 1.873041 2.715715 4.136679 6.607251 11.018724 20.294816
2025-11-02 1.260516 1.821590 2.680325 4.158747 6.796686 11.660832 22.333978
2025-11-09 1.181362 1.724100 2.565808 4.038359 6.719421 11.789773 23.300504
2025-11-16 1.122684 1.655281 2.492685 3.982520 6.753426 12.136729 24.814656
2025-11-23 1.075964 1.602738 2.442515 3.962212 6.850764 12.620595 26.739993
2025-11-30 1.057736 1.594884 2.465432 4.073328 7.211033 13.695215 30.337825
2025-12-07 1.016981 1.547763 2.418933 4.053551 7.309424 14.220136 32.646652
2025-12-14 0.975790 1.497744 2.364397 4.014331 7.363753 14.653220 34.805521
2025-12-21 0.915120 1.412263 2.243857 3.841899 7.126077 14.391015 34.959564
2025-12-28 0.891628 1.388603 2.230346 3.873636 7.322117 15.166698 38.313172
2026-01-04 0.875234 1.376158 2.235794 3.942303 7.604161 16.188800 42.690891
2026-01-11 0.858807 1.362758 2.238565 4.005521 7.880388 17.238005 47.465468